Week 4 DFS Locks

Well, this week certainly presented some unusual challenges. With the Titans-Steelers game being officially delayed until week 7, many fantasy managers have been forced to find alternatives. Of course, that affects the DFS slates as well, with stars like Derrick Henry and James Connor now being unavailable. That being said, there are still plenty of options to put together a winning lineup.

Quarterback: 

Stud: Russell Wilson, $9,000

Its Russell Wilson against a defense that has allowed every QB to put up 25+ fantasy points every week. With Carson potentially limited, I expect Wilson to keep throwing the football downfield, with Metcalf ($6,900) and Lockett ($7,500) being his primary receivers. This seems like an obvious weekly stack, even at the high price tag they all carry. I like Dak Prescott ($8,200) as well, along with his receiving options, for a bit cheaper.

Budget Baller: Ryan Fitzpatrick, $7,100

The QB facing the Seahawks will probably end up as a great budget option every week. Fitzpatrick is coming off back to back 24+ point performances, and has a long week to prepare for a struggling Seahawks defense. With Jamaal Adams likely ruled out, a favorable matchup becomes even easier for the Dolphin’s offense. I would pair him with Devante Parker ($6,500), and Mike Gesecki ($5,700).

Fade Away: Kyler Murray, $8,400

Currently priced as QB6, Murray faces a Carolina Panthers defense that has been surprisingly tough on QBs, allowing the 3rd fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this far into the season. That being said, the Panthers have faced Derek Carr, Tom Brady, and Justin Herbert to this point, none of which have the mobility of Murray. While Murray’s rushing numbers provide him a great floor, I think his ceiling is capped this week against a run-funnel defense. If Hopkins continues to not practice with his groin injury, I would steer clear of Murray completely this week.

Runningbacks

Stud: Alvin Kamara, $8,800

I have no idea how Kamara isn’t the most expensive runningback this week, but I won’t complain. This week, Kamara faces the Lions defense that just gave up over 220 scrimmage yards to Aaron Jones two weeks ago. With Michael Thomas likely to miss one more week, or play a limited snap count, I expect Kamara to see the same healthy amount of volume in both the recieving game and running game. Slot him in as your RB1 this week.

Budget Baller: Austin Ekeler, $6,900 (HM: James Robinson, $6,600, Darrell Henderson, $6,400)

There’s an abundance of cheap runningbacks this week with great matchups. Austin Ekeler is a tad more expensive than the others, but he faces the Buc’s defense that has allowed an average of 8 catches and 70 yards to the RB position. In a game where the Chargers will likely trail, I expect Ekeler to continue his trends of high usage in the receiving game, along with efficient rushes to spell Joshua Kelley. James Robinson faces a Bengal’s defense that got obliterated by Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt two weeks ago, and bled points to Miles Sanders last week. Darrell Henderson projects to be the lead back in another game without Cam Akers, and should be able to put up another great week as the starter for the Rams.

Fade Away: Josh Jacobs ($8,000)

There’s no doubt Jacobs is one of the best pure runners in football when healthy. His 33-point week 1 explosion proved that. But when the Raiders go down early, his usage decreases significantly. A negative game script combined with a knee injury that has limited him in practice the last couple weeks puts Jacobs in a position to severely underwhelm this week. I would avoid Jacobs this week and spend the money elsewhere.

Wide Receivers:

Stud: Tyler Lockett ($7,500)

With Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, and Deandre Hopkins injured along with Tyreek Hill matching up against Stephon Gilmore, Lockett seems to be the best option this week at WR6. In the highest over-under of the week against a defense that has been bleeding pass yards to the receiver position, Lockett is in a position to explode once again. I would take the Seahawks stack every week and watch the cash roll in.

Budget Baller: Justin Watson ($4,600)

With Chris Godwin and Scotty Miller likely to miss this week, someone has to step up in the Buc’s offense. Justin Watson looks to be the primary slot receiver when Godwin misses time. With Chris Harris Jr. out, Watson has an easy matchup against an injury-filled Charger’s defense. Mike Evans will be matched up against Casey Hayward, one of the premiere CBs in the NFL. I expect Watson to be one of Brady’s primary targets Sunday, and should have a low enough ownership to be a great play that can make or break your lineup. He holds a little bit of risk, but is the budget option I am most confident in this week.

Fade Away: Allen Robinson ($7,000)

After last week’s breakout with Nick Foles at quarterback, Allen Robinson is a tempting option at WR12. That being said, the Colts have done a surprisingly good job of shutting down #1 options on passing attacks this year. D.J. Chark and Adam Theilen were both held to 3 catches (Also played the Jets, but I don’t count them as an NFL offense). It is a small sample size, and Robinson is better than both Chark and Theilen, but its something to take note of. Robinson is a big risk this week, and I would probably pivot off of him. I’m not completely opposed to starting him in a lineup or two though, just in case.

Tight Ends:

Start of the Week: Dalton Schultz ($4,900)

The Brown’s defense has been getting killed by tight ends since last season, and have given up the 29th most points to the position this season. Schultz has been averaging 7 targets per game since Jarwin went down, and should have a good chance of getting into the endzone against the weaker Browns. I would start him as the best budget tight end to free up money and afford some more expensive players (like the Wilson/Lockett/Metcalf stack).

Defense:

Start of the Week: Los Angeles Rams ($4,800)

The Giants have given up the 30th-most points to fantasy defenses so far. The offensive line is struggling, and without Saquon Barkeley, the offense depends on Daniel Jones. Jones is averaging 2 turnovers a game, and hasn’t seemed to fix his fumbling issue. With Aaron Donald disrupting the pocket all game, the Rams should be able to rack up sacks and force a few turnovers this week. Start the Rams defense with confidence.

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